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Morning Market Briefing
Fri Jul 30 09:01 2010
Commentary
Jul 30, 2010 Stocks Poised For Sharply Lower Open After Q2 GDP Reading - U.S. Commentary Stocks
are on pace for a notably lower open on Friday, as the markets are
digesting an advance reading on second quarter GDP that failed to meet
most estimates along with a mixed batch of earnings. The major index
futures are all firmly in negative territory, with the Dow futures down
by 93 points. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Japan Industrial Production Falls 1.5% On Month An
index measuring industrial output in Japan was down a seasonally
adjusted 1.5 percent in June compared to the previous month, the
Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said in a preliminary report on
Friday, posting a score of 94.7. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 South Korean Industrial Production Rises 1.4% In June Industrial
output in South Korea jumped a seasonally adjusted 1.4 percent in June
compared to the previous month, Statistics Korea said on Friday -
expanding for the 12th consecutive month. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Q2 GDP Increases Slightly Less Than Expected U.S.
economic activity increased at a slightly slower than expected pace in
the second quarter, according to a report released by the Commerce
Department on Friday, with the report also showing a notable upward
revision to the pace of growth in the first quarter. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 U.K. Consumer Confidence Falls Again British
consumer confidence declined for the fifth straight month in July, with
consumers growing more cautious of the outlook for the economy and
their personal finances, the results of a closely watched survey showed
on Friday. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 German Retail Sales Drop More Than Expected In June German
retail sales fell more than expected in June on a monthly basis,
following a sharp rise in May, casting a shadow over expectations that
private consumption will turn positive in the near future. Full Article
Earnings News
Jul 30, 2010 McAfee Q2 profit rises 38%, beats Street ; guides Q3 Thursday,
McAfee, Inc. (MFE) said its second quarter profit rose 38% from the
previous year, as revenue grew 5% on strong corporate and consumer
businesses. Earnings for the quarter came in above the Street view, but
revenues missed estimates. Looking ahead, the company also provided
outlook for the third quarter. Separately, McAfee said it would acquire
WaveSecure mobile security service provider tenCube. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Aon Corp. Q2 profit rises 2.7% Friday,
Aon Corp. (AON) reported a 2.7% rise in profit for the second quarter,
as revenue grew a little less than 1% from the past year. Both adjusted
earnings and revenue came in above the Street view. The company
attributed the improvement in results to strong operational performance
in Brokerage and Consulting segments. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 American Electric Power Q2 net profit down 57% on charges Friday,
American Electric Power Co., Inc. (AEP) reported a 57% drop in profit
for the second quarter, hurt mainly by charges arising out of cost
reduction and restructuring program. However, adjusted earnings rose
10.6% year-over-year as revenue rose 6.25% from last year. Both earnings
and revenue came in below the estimate of analysts. Looking ahead to
the full year, the company reiterated its earnings outlook for the full
year. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Eastman Chemical Q2 profit surges, beats estimate; guides Q3 EPS above Street Thursday,
Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) said its second-quarter profit increased
over two times, as sales surged 38% on higher global demand. Adjusted
earnings came in well above the Street view. Further, the company guided
third-quarter earnings above the current estimate of analysts and
lifted full-year earnings view. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Amgen Q2 profit dips over 5%, yet EPS beats Street; cuts FY10 revenue view Thursday,
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) said its second quarter profit slid over 5%, hurt by
weaker sales of its major drugs, higher expenses and the absence of a
hefty income tax benefit that boosted year-ago results. However,
earnings per share was flat with last year and came in above the Street
view. Further, the company lowered its revenue guidance for the full
year, while backing its earnings outlook. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 MetLife turns to net profit in Q2, beats Street Thursday,
MetLife Inc. (MET) said it returned to profit in the second quarter,
reflecting huge investment gains, compared to loss in the previous year.
Operating earnings climbed 41% and came in well ahead of the Street
view, while operating revenue fell short of expectations despite growing
5% year-over-year. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Total Q2 profit rises 43% on higher prices, production Friday,
Total SA (TOT) said its second-quarter profit rose 43% from the
previous year, helped by higher crude prices and as the company ramped
up petroleum production, which grew 8% year-over-year. Revenue climbed
31% year-over-year. Total said that better refinery margins also boosted
earnings for the quarter. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Alcatel-Lucent swings to loss in Q2 Friday,
Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) said it slipped to loss in the second quarter, as
revenues declined 2.4% from the past year. However, gross margin for the
period expanded 3 percentage points to 36.1%. Looking ahead to the full
year, the company reaffirmed its adjusted operating margin outlook. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 First Solar Q2 profit down 12%, yet beats Street; lifts FY10 EPS view Thursday,
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) reported a 12% decline in its second-quarter
profit, hit by higher operating expenses. Both earnings and revenue,
which grew 12%, came in above the Street view. The company said that
sales grew year-over-year, despite lower selling prices, reflecting
increase in production volumes. Looking ahead, the company boosted its
earnings outlook for the full year, but lowered its revenue guidance for
2010. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Wynn Resorts Q2 profit surges, beats Street Thursday,
Wynn Resorts, Ltd. (WYNN) said its second-quarter profit almost
doubled, reflecting a 74% growth in revenues from its Macau operations.
Both earnings and revenue, which grew 43%, came in above the Street
view. Revenue per available Room reduced 3.2% year-over-year, the firm
noted. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Genworth Financial turns to profit in Q2, beats estimate Thursday,
Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) said it turned to profit in the second
quarter, helped by lower expenses and by foreign exchange gains that
more than offset lower revenues. Adjusted operating earnings for the
period came in ahead of Street view. Total revenues decreased 2.8%
year-over-year. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Expedia Q2 profit soars Thursday,
Expedia, Inc. (EXPE) said its second-quarter profit jumped over
three-folds, reflecting a 19% growth in bookings and considerable rise
in hotel, advertising and media revenues. Earnings for the period came
in above the Street view, while revenues, which grew 8%, fell short of
expectations. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Simon Property turns to profit in Q2; backs FY10 view Friday,
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) said it returned to profit in the
second quarter, as revenue rose 3.3% from the previous year on higher
occupancy rates and increased sales at its shopping centers and outlets.
Funds From Operations went up 56% to surpass the Street view, as did
revenue. Looking ahead, the company reaffirmed its full-year earnings
per share outlook. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 ITT profit rises 18%; revises Q3, FY10; to divest CAS Inc. Friday,
ITT Corp. (ITT) reported an 18.4% rise in its second-quarter profit,
reflecting less than a 1% growth in revenue and lower costs. Looking
ahead, the company updated its earnings and revenue guidance for the
third quarter and fiscal 2010. ITT also revealed that it intends to
divest CAS Inc., a part of its defense and information solutions
business. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Fortune Brands Q2 profit more than doubles, beats Street; raises FY10 EPS view Friday,
Fortune Brands Inc. (FO) said its second-quarter profit jumped over
two-folds, as revenue grew 9% on strong sales of home and security
products. Both adjusted earnings and revenue came in above the Street
view. Further, for the full year, Fortune Brands lifted its earnings
outlook range. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Chevron Q2 profit trebles, beats estimate Friday,
Chevron Corp. (CVX) said its second-quarter profit increased
three-folds on higher prices for crude oil and production, as well as
improved margins in its downstream operations. Revenue for the period
grew 32% year-over-year. Both earnings and revenue came in above the
Street view. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Merck Q2 net profit drops 51%, adjusted EPS rises, beats Street Friday,
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) said its second-quarter profit dropped 51%,
despite a 92% surge in revenue. However, excluding, accounting
adjustments, merger-related expenses and restructuring costs, earnings
rose year-over-year to surpass the Street view. Looking ahead, Merck
provided earnings guidance range for the full year, with analysts'
estimate near the top end of the range. Full Article
Corporate News
Jul 30, 2010 Walt Disney to sell Miramax for over $660 mln Thursday,
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) said it agreed to sell its Miramax Films business
to Filmyard Holdings LLC for over $660 million. The deal also includes
the sale of rights to more than 700 film titles, non-film assets, such
as certain books, development projects and the "Miramax" brand. Full Article
Jul 30, 2010 Citigroup to pay $75 mln to settle subprime claims Thursday,
Citigroup, Inc. (C) agreed to pay US$75 million in penalty to settle
charges claiming that it did not disclose to investors information
regarding its huge sub-prime mortgage investments. Earlier this month,
the company had reported that its second-quarter profit declined 37% to
$2.7 billion. Full Article
Broker Ratings Changes
Jul 30, 2010 FBR Capital Markets Cuts RPC INC (RES) To Market Perform From Outperform With $19 Price Target
Jul 30, 2010
FBR Capital Markets Lowers Halliburton Company (HAL) To Market Perform
From Outperform With $34 down from $40 Price Target
Todays WS Events
Jul 30, 2010 Merck Q2 10 Earnings Conference Call At 8:00 AM ET Merck
& Co Inc. (MRK) CEO, Richard T. Clark, will host a conference call
at 8:00 AM ET, July 30, 2010, to discuss its Q2 10 earnings results. To
access the live audio webcast, log on at
www.merck.com/investors/events-and-presentations/home.html To hear the
live call, dial (706) 758-9928 or (800) 399-7917. A replay of the call
can be heard by dialing (706) 645-9291 or (800) 642-1687 and enter ID
No. 83513814.
Jul 30, 2010 MetLife Q2 10 Earnings Conference Call At 8:00 AM ET MetLife,
Inc. (MET) will host a conference call at 8:00 AM ET, July 30, 2010, to
discuss its Q2 10 earnings results. To access the webcast, log on at
www.metlife.com To listen the live call, dial (612) 326-1011
(US/international). A replay of the call by dialing (320) 365-3844
(US/international); access code is 151271.
Jul 30, 2010 American Electric Power Q2 10 Earnings Conference Call At 9:00 AM ET American
Electric Power (AEP) will host a conference call at 9:00 AM ET, July
30, 2010, to discuss its Q2 10 earnings results. To access the live
webcast, log on at www.aep.com/go/webcasts
Jul 30, 2010 Fortune Brands Q2 10 Earnings Conference Call At 10:00 AM ET Fortune
Brands Inc. (FO) will host a conference call at 10:00 AM ET July 30,
2010, to discuss its Q2 10 financial results. To access the live
webcast, log on at www.fortunebrands.com The call can also be accessed
by dialing 1-877-226-0730.
Jul 30, 2010 Chevron Q2 10 Earnings Conference Call At 11:00 AM ET Chevron
Corp. (CVX) will host a conference call at 11:00 AM ET July 30, 2010,
to discuss its Q2 10 financial results. To access the live webcast, log
on at www.chevron.com The call can also be accessed by dialing
703-639-1116 / 866-219-5256 with ID #: 1467776.
Jul 29, 2010 Stocks Post Moderate Losses Amid Mixed Indicators - U.S. Commentary Stocks
ended moderately lower on Thursday, as mixed indications from the
Federal Reserve, the labor market and the earnings front prompted some
selling in the equity markets. With the declines, the major averages
pulled back further off their recent highs. Full Article
Economic News
Jul 29, 2010 Weekly Jobless Claims Show Modest Drop But Remain Elevated After
releasing a report last week showing a notable increase in first-time
claims for unemployment benefits, the Labor Department released a report
Thursday morning showing a modest decrease in initial jobless claims in
the week ended July 24th. The report showed that jobless claims dropped
to 457,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 468,000.
Economists had been expecting jobless claims to edge down to 460,000
from the 464,000 originally reported for the previous week. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 Bullard: Fed Policy Putting U.S. At Risk For Japanese-Style Deflation St.
Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Thursday that the
Fed's current policies are putting the U.S. at risk for "a
Japanese-style deflationary outcome within the next several years."
Bullard said Thursday that the Fed should consider expanding
"quantitative easing" and buying more Treasury securities, rather than
promising to keep interest rates low for an "extended period." Full Article
Earnings News
Jul 29, 2010 Colgate-Palmolive Q2 Profit Tops Estimates - Update Colgate-Palmolive
Co. (CL) reported Thursday a higher profit for its second quarter,
helped by increased sales and volumes, despite negative foreign
exchange. Quarterly earnings per share topped the market projections by a
penny. For the full year, the consumer products company now expects the
Venezuelan currency devaluation to have a higher negative impact on
earnings than projected. However, it did not alter its double-digit
growth guidance for full-year adjusted earnings. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 Southwest Airlines Q2 Profit Rises On Robust Travel Demand - Update Low-cost
airline Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) Thursday reported higher profit
for the second quarter, as revenues grew about 21% from last year on
strong consumer travel demand. Adjusted earnings met Wall Street
consensus estimate. The company's second-quarter net income improved to
$112 million or $0.15 per share from $91 million or $0.12 per share
reported last year. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 Motorola Q2 Profit Rises; Guides Q3 Profit In Line - Update Mobile
phone maker Motorola, Inc. (MOT) reported Thursday that profit for the
second quarter climbed from last year, reflecting strong sales of
smartphones. The company shipped 8.3 million handsets, including 2.7
million smartphones that operate on Google Inc.'s Android software and
compete with Apple's system. Full Article
Forex Top Story
Jul 29, 2010 Dollar Hits Fresh Multi-Month Lows Versus Euro, Sterling The
dollar fell further versus the euro and sterling on Thursday as data
continued to suggest the economic picture across the Atlantic is
brighter than once feared. Meanwhile, the pace of the US recovery
appears to have slowed, generating a divergence of opinion within the
Federal Reserve. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 Fed's Fisher: Regulatory Uncertainty Hurting Economy Dallas
Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher said Thursday that regulatory
uncertainty is hindering the nation's economic recovery. Speaking in San
Antonio, Fisher said that such uncertainty will also make any further
monetary accommodation from the Fed ineffective. "No amount of further
monetary policy accommodation can offset the retarding effect of
heightened uncertainty over the fiscal and regulatory direction of the
country," Fisher said in prepared remarks. Full Article
Political News
Jul 29, 2010 Obama Touts Education Reform As Essential To Economy President
Barack Obama Thursday emphasized the importance of education as a way
to build the national economy. Speaking at the National Urban League
Centennial Conference, Obama said that education, like health care and
the other major initiatives he has advanced, is a central economic issue
for the nation's future. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 House Approves $708 Million In Border Security Spending After
the Senate declined to include money for border security in the war
funding bill that was passed earlier this week, the House voted late
Wednesday to pass a separate bill to spend $701 million in emergency
funds to secure the border. The bill, which passed the House by voice
vote, includes funding for hiring 1,200 additional Border Patrol agents
and 500 more Customs and Border Protection officers along with money to
improve border surveillance and beef up anti-smuggling investigations. Full Article
Jul 29, 2010 Republicans Block Bill To Increase Small Business Lending Senate
Republicans blocked a bill to increase lending to small businesses on
Thursday, with the vote raising concerns about whether the Senate will
be able to pass the bill before the August recess. The Senate voted 58
to 42 to end debate on the bill, falling short of the 60 votes needed.
All 41 Republicans voted against the motion, and Senate Majority Leader
Harry Reid, D-Nev., switched his vote in order to call up the bill again
at a later time. Full Article
OFT imposes £225m fine against certain
tobacco manufacturers and retailers over retail pricing practices
The OFT has found that two tobacco manufacturers and ten
retailers engaged in unlawful practices in relation to retail prices for
tobacco products in the UK, and has imposed fines totalling £225m.
The tobacco manufacturers involved are Imperial Tobacco and
Gallaher, and the retailers are Asda, The Co-operative Group, First
Quench, Morrisons, One Stop Stores (formerly T&S Stores), Safeway,
Sainsbury's, Shell, Somerfield and TM Retail.
The OFT has concluded that each manufacturer had a series of
individual arrangements with each retailer whereby the retail price of a
tobacco brand was linked to that of a competing manufacturer's brand.
These arrangements restricted the ability of these retailers to
determine their selling prices independently and breached the
Competition Act 1998.
The infringements span different periods between 2001 and 2003
for different parties, and related variously to the markets for UK duty
paid cigarettes, hand rolling tobacco, pipe tobacco, and cigars and
cigarillos. The current value of these markets is estimated at around
£13 billion.
Asda, One Stop Stores, Sainsbury's and Somerfield have benefitted
from discounts in their fines under the OFT's leniency programme, which
provides co-operating parties with a discount in fines where they
proactively volunteer information which assists the OFT's investigation.
Sainsbury's had alerted the OFT to the infringements and as the first
to apply to the OFT for leniency, it receives complete immunity from
fines.
In addition, Gallaher, Asda, First Quench, One Stop Stores,
Somerfield and TM Retail received reductions in their fines because,
following receipt of the OFT's Statement of Objections issued in April
2008, they each admitted liability in respect of the infringements
alleged against them and agreed to a streamlined procedure enabling
parts of the case to be resolved more quickly so reducing the costs of
the investigation.
Having considered representations made by the parties, the OFT
has decided not to pursue allegations made in respect of the
relationship between each of Imperial Tobacco and Gallaher with Tesco in
its Statement of Objections as it considers it has insufficient
evidence to proceed to an infringement finding. For the same reason, the
OFT has also decided not to pursue additional allegations relating to
the indirect exchange of proposed future retail prices against Imperial
Tobacco, Gallaher, Asda, Sainsbury's, Shell, Somerfield and Tesco.
Simon Williams, OFT Senior Director of Goods, said:
'Practices such as these, which restrict the ability of retailers
to set their resale prices for competing brands independently, are
unlawful. They can lead to reduced competition and ultimately
disadvantage consumers.
'This enforcement action will send out a strong message that such
practices, which could in principle be applied to the sale of many
different products, can result in substantial penalties for those who
engage in them.'
The £225m fine represents the largest total fine imposed by
the OFT to date in a case under the Competition Act 1998.
The Competition Act 1998 prohibits, among other matters,
agreements and practices that have the object or effect of preventing,
restricting or distorting competition in the UK or a part of it and
which may affect trade in the UK or a part of it ('the Chapter I
Prohibition').
In April 2008 the OFT issued a Statement of Objections (SO)
against certain tobacco manufacturers and retailers. See PN56/08 for
more details. On 11 July 2008 each of Gallaher, Asda, First Quench, One
Stop Stores, Somerfield and TM Retail reached an early resolution
agreement with the OFT admitting its involvement in the alleged
infringing agreements to which each was party, in breach of the Chapter I
Prohibition. See PN 82/08 for more
details.
The SO noted that the alleged infringing agreements had an
anti-competitive object and/or likely anti-competitive effect. The OFT
has found that the infringing agreements were, by their very nature,
capable of restricting competition and therefore had an anti-competitive
object in breach of the Chapter I Prohibition. The OFT is no longer
pursuing the allegation regarding the likely anti-competitive effect of
the infringing agreements.
The infringing agreements were in breach of the Chapter I
Prohibition from 1 March 2001, as although they were entered into and
took effect before 1 March 2000 they benefited from a one-year period
from 1 March 2000 during which the Chapter I Prohibition did not apply
to them. The one exception was the infringing agreement in respect of
Gallaher/Shell, which existed from 20 August 2001. Subject to three
exceptions, the OFT has taken 15 August 2003 as the cut-off date for all
the infringements, which is when the OFT sent out the first request for
documents and information under section 26 of the Act. The exceptions
are the infringing agreements in respect of Gallaher/First Quench (which
ended on 19 December 2002) and Imperial Tobacco/Sainsbury's and
Gallaher/Sainsbury's (both of which ended on 9 March 2003).
The full OFT decision is expected to be published on the OFT
website later this year following the redaction of commercially
sensitive information.
This curve, which relates the yield on
a security to its time to maturity is based on the
closing
market bid yields on actively traded Treasury securities
in the over-the-counter market. These market yields
are calculated from composites of quotations obtained
by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. For information
on how the Treasury’s yield curve is derived,
visit our Treasury
Yield Curve Methodology page.
The real curve, which relates the real yield on a
Treasury Inflation Protected Security (TIPS) to its
time to maturity, is based on the closing market real
bid yields on actively traded TIPS in the over-the-counter
market. These market real yields are calculated from
composites of quotations obtained by the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York. Treasury began publishing this series
on January 2, 2004. At that time Treasury released 1
year of historical data.
These
rates are composites of closing market bid quotations on recently
issued Treasury Bills in the over-the-counter market as obtained by the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York at approximately 3:30 PM each business
day.
Treasury ceased publication of the 30-year constant maturity
series on February 18, 2002 and resumed that series on
February 9, 2006. To estimate a 30-year rate during that
time frame, this series includes the Treasury 20-year
Constant Maturity rate and an "adjustment factor," which
may be added to the 20-year rate to estimate a 30-year rate
during the period of time in which Treasury did not sell 30-year bonds.
Detailed information is provided with the data.
Begining on January 2, 2004, Treasury began publishing
a Long Term Real Rate Average. This series in intended
for use as a proxy for long-term real rates. At that
time Treasury released 1 year of historical data.
March 22, 2010
Deadline for public comments concerning proposed regulations regarding retail forex transactions
April 5, 2010
Deadline for public comments concerning proposed questionnaire pursuant to Regulation 30.10.
April 26, 2010
Deadline for public comments concerning proposed speculative position
limits for futures and option contracts in certain energy commodities.
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